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South Korean money tumbles, Euro rises after declaration of martial law


South Korea

South Korean money tumbles, Euro rises after declaration of martial law

Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss, Amanda Cooper
Reuters

recent YORK/LONDON, Dec 3 (Reuters) – The Korean won was one of the biggest movers on Tuesday, plunging against the U.S. dollar after South Korea’s president declared martial law in an unannounced late-night address on television.

The euro, meanwhile, which has hogged the headlines of late, recovered versus the greenback as political turmoil in France sent traders scrambling for hedging protection against further worth swings.

The dollar, on the other hand, briefly rose after data showed U.S. job openings increased moderately in October while layoffs declined.

But it was the won that caught the trade’s attention, with political information coming out of left field.

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol said he had no selection but to resort to martial law in order to protect the liberal democracy, saying opposition parties have taken hostage of the parliamentary procedure to throw the country into a crisis.

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The South Korean money fell to as low as 1,443.40 won per dollar, the lowest since October 2022. It was last down 1.9% at 1,430.72.

“This naturally makes sense for the Korean won to plummet while we’re all assessing what exactly is the emergency. It usually doesn’t happen unless there is major terror or concern that the stability of the country is apparent,” said Juan Perez, director of buying and selling at Monex USA in Washington.

“When there is chaos in Asia, it makes a lot of sense for jumping to the yen and a lot of the funds that are usually invested in Korea commence actually heading towards Japan and I ponder already you’re seeing a bit of an unusual jump in favor of the yen.”

The dollar fell 0.3% versus the yen to 149.12 yen , while the euro also dipped, down 0.2% at 156.77 yen . Traders are growing increasingly confident that Japan may hike yield rates this month.

The won sank to its lowest since May 2023 against the yen, and was last down 2.2% at 1,043 won .

The euro , which had been the weakest G10 money through November, began this month with a 0.7% fall on Monday and was last up 0.2% at $1.05185, as France’s government heads for collapse over a distribution impasse. EUR/GVD

French Prime Minister Michel Barnier faces a vote of no confidence on Wednesday after fierce opposition from across the political spectrum to his distribution, which contains hurtful responsibility rises and spending cuts aimed at repairing the country’s precarious finances.

Currency dealers work at a dealing room in the bank in Seoul, South Korea, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Kim Soo-hyeon

Demand for hedges, as reflected by euro options volatility, has hit its highest since March 2023 this week and, with the combination of a string of frail data, political uncertainty in major euro zone economies and the seemingly unstoppable dollar, the single European money could battle.

Watching the Yuan

The Chinese yuan, another money to watch with the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump in the United States, hit a 13-month low on tariff risks and weakness in China’s economy.

The yuan had already sold off in expectation of more tariffs from Trump and improving U.S. manufacturing data, and a dive in Chinese steady earnings yields to record lows has pulled the money towards 7.3 per dollar for the first period since last November.

China fixed the yuan’s buying and selling band at its weakest in more than a year and traders ran with it to sell the money at 7.2996 per dollar. The Chinese unit last traded at 7.2850 per dollar, slightly down 0.2%. It traded at 7.24 on Friday.

The U.S. dollar index was little changed to slightly down on the day at 106.34 . It trimmed losses after data showed job openings, a assess of labor demand, had risen 372,000 to 7.744 million by the last day of October, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS update.

“The Fed’s December 18th selection will be a close one, but if the majority of voting members prioritize the employment mandate, markets should expect a cut in policy rates, supporting uncertainty appetite,” wrote Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL monetary in emailed comments.

U.S. fed funds forward contracts priced in a 70% chance of a 25 basis-point cut this month, and 30% odds of a pause, according to LSEG calculations, little changed from late Monday.

The dollar typically suffers seasonal weakness in December as companies tend to buy foreign currencies. However, traders are keeping a wary eye this year on Trump’s incoming government and its back of the greenback.

Over the weekend, Trump threatened punitive tariffs unless BRICS member countries committed to the dollar as a safety net money.

Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in recent York and Amanda Cooper in London; Additional reporting by Pranav Kashyap in Bengalaru and Tom Westbrook in Singapore; Editing by Nicholas Yong, Kirsten Donovan and Susan Fenton

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