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Reeves welcomes IMF’s improved growth projection


Reeves welcomes IMF’s improved growth projection

Getty Images Young woman in a hi-vis vest using a digital barcode reader for her work along a shelf in a warehouseGetty Images

The UK economy is set to “accelerate”, the International Monetary pool (IMF) has said as it raised its growth projection for this year.

The influential global organisation now expects the UK to develop by 1.1% this year, up from the 0.7% it projection three months ago.

While leisurely compared to previous periods, this would put the UK in the middle of the pack of global nations.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves welcomed the IMF’s more upbeat projection, but said: “I recognize there is more work to do.”

The IMF’s outlook contrasts with Reeves’s assessment of the UK economy after she claimed Labour had inherited the “worst set of circumstances since the Second globe War” following 14 years of Conservative rule.

The chancellor is expected to outline responsibility rises and spending cuts aimed at raising £40bn at next week’s apportionment.

The IMF and UK government have disagreed over previous predictions, and economic forecasts are not always accurate.

The IMF has previously stated its forecasts for most advanced economies, such as the UK’s, have more often than not been within about 1.5 percentage points of what actually happens.

The IMF’s global projection shows the globe economy has proven resilient, with richer countries having made up for lost pandemic growth.

The US continues to outperform all its peers in the G7 throng of advanced economies as the presidential election looms. Its economy is projection to develop 2.8% this year and 2.2% next year.

The US has seen productivity gains outstripping wage growth, and has, according to the IMF, been “bolstered by substantial immigration flows that helped chilly labour markets”.

Europe’s major economies, remain sluggish, especially Germany, but Spain is growing rapidly, by 2.9% this year and 2.1% next year.

Ahead of what is expected to be a tough apportionment, the IMF backed maintaining and increasing community property as being “positive” for growth, especially in areas that boost productivity and competitiveness, for example digital and community infrastructure.

The IMF pointed to internal research showing countries that spend a high proportion of their budgets on property have significantly faster growing economies.

Reeves has inherited Conservative plans for a notable cut to community property, measured as a distribute of the national economy.

The Treasury has clearly signalled in recent days that it could reverse that policy, instead maintaining or increasing property.

Reeves is also expected to confirm in the apportionment that the way in which the government defines its self-imposed rules on reducing the national obligation will transformation to accommodate more property in infrastructure projects.

Elsewhere, the IMF pointed to concerns that emerging economies had been left with more “permanent scars” and more persistent worth rise from recent global crises.

Nevertheless, the sanctions-hit Russian economy has had its projection upgraded yet again, as its shift to a war economy supports growth. This year it is expected to expand by 3.6%.

However, next year growth is expected to fall dramatically to 1.3% as private consumption and property leisurely.

Speaking at the IMF conference in Washington, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Tuesday the US would unveil “powerful recent sanctions targeting those facilitating the Kremlin’s war machine”.

That would include anyone supplying Russia with “critical inputs for its military” she said.

The US has taken a series of actions against Russia since the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, including preventing banks dealing with sanctioned Russian entities and restrictions on supplying technology such as microchips and drones.



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